Determinants of Muntok White Pepper Export Value to Singapore and the United States

Lingga Saptarini, Dwi Rachmina, Suprehatin Suprehatin

Abstract

This study analyzes the factors influencing the export value of Muntok White Pepper (MWP) from the Bangka Belitung Islands Province to its main export destinations, Singapore and the United States, from 2010 to 2023. Panel data regression with a fixed effects model is used to combine production, exchange rate, and domestic price variables with export prices and trade policies. The analysis results indicate that production, exchange rate, export price, and non-tariff barriers (NTB) policies play a significant role in affecting export value, while domestic prices do not exert a significant influence. Elasticity analysis results in the exchange rate being the most responsive factor in influencing export value. Methodologically, this study presents the interpretation of panel data regression coefficients based on elasticity to measure export responsiveness, an approach not commonly applied in agricultural trade analysis. Contextually, this study emphasizes the strategic role of Muntok White Pepper as a geographically indicated commodity in supporting the competitiveness of Indonesian spice exports. These findings provide empirical evidence and policy insights for strengthening export resilience through increased production, exchange rate management, and compliance with international trade standards. 

Keywords

Bangka Belitung; elasticity; export; Muntok White Pepper

Full Text:

PDF

References

Abogan, O. P., Akinola, E. B., & Baruwa, O. I. (2014). Non-oil export and economic growth in Nigeria (1980-2011). Journal of Research in Economics and International Finance, 3(1), 1–11.

Baltagi B. H. 2005. Econometrics analysis of panel data. 3rd Ed. Chichester:England.

Caves, R. E., Frankel, J. A., Jones, R. W. (2002), World trade and pay ments an introduction (Ninth Ed). United States: Pearson Education Inc.

Center for Agricultural Data and Information Systems. (2020), Analysis of Agricultural Commodity Trade Performance. In Center for Agricultural Data and Information Systems (Vol. 8).

Central Statistics Agency. (2023), Indonesian Export-Import Statistics 2022. Available at: https://www.bps.go.id

Diputra T. F., Sadik, K., & Angraini, Y. (2012). Spatial panel data modeling with space and time dimensions. Indonesian Journal of Statistics, 17(1), 6-14.

Food and Agriculture Organization. (2017). World spice production and trade: Challenges and opportunities. FAO Report.

Fazaria, D. A., Hakim, D. B., & Sahara. (2016). Analysis of pepper price integration in domestic and international markets. Scientific Bulletin of Trade Research and Development, 10(2), 225-242. http://jurnal.kemendag.go.id/ index.php/bilp/article/view/55.

Fitri, I. A., & Purbadharmaja, I. B. (2015). The influence of the US dollar exchange rate, production volume, and land area on Indonesia’s pepper export volume. Development Economics, 4(5), 375–389.

Ghozali, I. (2013), Multivariate analysis application with IBM SPSS 21 program. Semarang: Diponegoro University Publishing Agency.

Ghozali, I. (2018). Aplikasi analisis multivariate dengan program IBM SPSS 25. 9th ed. Semarang: Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponogoro.

Ginting, K. H. (2014). Analysis of the position of Indonesian white pepper in the global white pepper market. Bogor Agricultural University. http://repository.ipb.ac.id/handle/123456789/68354

Li, J., Li, Y., & Dong, Q. (2016). How does monetary policy affect net export in China. Management & Engineering, 24 (2016), 101-107. https://doi.org/10.5503/J.ME.2016.24.012

Liu, C., Lin, D., Liu, J., & Li, Y. (2019). Quantifying the effects of non-tariff measures on African agri-food Exporters. Agrekon, 58(4), 451–471. https://doi.org/10.1080/03031853.2019.1581624

Matandare, M. A. (2017). Agriculture exports and economic growth in Zimbabwe. International Journal of Social Science and Economic Research, 2(12), 5503–5513.

Ministry of Trade of the Republic of Indonesia. (2022), Price of Bangka Belitung White Pepper: August 2022. Jakarta: Ministry of Trade of the Republic of Indonesia. http://www.kemendag.go.id.

Ministry of Agriculture. (2020), Agricultural Commodity Price Report.

Ministry of Agriculture Regulation. (2012), Guidelines for Post-Harvest Handling of Pepper. Jakarta (ID): Ministry of Agriculture.

Riani, N. (2023). Competitiveness of pepper commodities in Indonesia 2018-2022. Margin: Journal of Islamic Business and Islamic Banking, 2(2), 115-129. https://doi.org/10.58561/margin.v2i2.98

Ridha, M., Indra, & Safrida. (2019). Factors affecting Indonesian pepper exports. Scientific Journal of Agricultural Students, 4(1), 387-400. https://jim.usk.ac.id/JFP/article/view/9936

Riyani, Darsono, & Ferichani, M. (2018). Analysis of demand for Indonesian agricultural commodity exports by the Chinese market. AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research, 4(2), 120-128. http://dx.doi.org/10.18196/agr.4267

Susilawati, D. (2017). Analysis of competitiveness and factors influencing the volume of Indonesian pepper exports in the international market [Thesis]. Jakarta. Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University.

Wardani, V. K. A., & Sunyigono, A. K. (2021). Competitiveness and factors influencing Indonesian pepper exports to India. JEPA: Journal of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, 5(3), 655-666. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jepa.2021.005.03.5

Widarjono, A. (2007). Econometrics: Theory and applications for economics and business, second edition. Yogyakarta: Ekonisia FE Islamic University of Indonesia.

Xu, H., Nghia, D. T., & Nam, N. H. (2023). Determinants of Vietnam’s potential for agricultural export trade to Asia-Pacific economic cooperation (APEC) members. Heliyon, 9(2), e13105. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e13105

Zainuddin, M. R. K. V., Sarmidi, T., & Khalid, N. (2020). Sustainable production, non-tariff measures, and trade performance in RCEP countries. Sustainability, 12(23). https://doi.org/10.3390/su12239969

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.